Posts Tagged ‘Vernon Parker’
My firm, DC London, commissioned a Arizona primary election poll of likely voters in the Republican primary next Tuesday.
Ducey – 32%
Smith – 19%
Jones – 16%
Bennett – 14%
Thomas – 7%
Riggs – 2%
Undecided – 10%
At this point, Ducey is all but assured a victory. The only question is how will the rest of the field shape up. My prediction is that Jones has a little surge at the end and captures the second place spot, while Smith continues to slide and ends up in 3rd. The greatest mystery of this election, for me, is what happened to Ken Bennett? He started the race with the most name ID and at 15% of the vote (which at the time was way ahead of everyone else) but he has not moved the needle even a little.
Brnovich – 40%
Horne – 37%
Undecided – 24%
Given that Horne has essentially 100% name ID, the majority of the 24% of undecided are likely to go to Brnovich – so I suspect Brnovich will win by more than six points.
Secretary of State
Reagan – 32%
Pierce – 30%
Cardon – 15%
Undecided – 23%
This race will likely be the one that goes later into the evening before we know the winner. Reagan’s small lead is within the margin of error, so it’s a toss up.
DeWit – 23%
Pullen – 21%
Hallman – 19%
Undecided – 37%
This statewide race has the largest number of undecided voters, so it really could go about any way at this point. DeWit is getting a bit of attention with this video that has the makings of going viral.
Superintendent of Public Instruction
Douglas – 39%
Huppenthal – 34%
Undecided – 28%
It appears that the anti-Common Core message is resonating for little-known Diane Douglas and I think she will upset Huppenthal.
(Combined total for first choice and second choice)
Little – 43%
Forese – 35%
Mason – 34%
Parker – 31%
While the second position appears to be a toss up between Forese and Mason, it’s clear that Little will win and Parker will lose. The decision by the pro-solar folks to try to demonize Little as a “lap dog” and somehow supportive of Obama, seems to have backfired. And the hits on Parker by the Free Enterprise Club appear to be working. So the two candidates who have largely been ignored, find themselves basically tied. Will make for an interesting night.
Arizona has had a lively Republican primary this year. Here are my endorsements for statewide office:
Governor – Doug Ducey
Doug Ducey is the most exciting candidate for Governor we in Arizona have had in a long, long time. This is an easy call. Why? He is a successful business leader, a strong conservative, a man of faith, and, most of all, a genuinely great human being. And, his opponents just don’t stack up.
*Disclaimer – I am the Chairman of Conservative Leadership for Arizona, an Independent Expenditure Committee formed to support Doug Ducey for Governor. Of course, I wouldn’t have done that if I didn’t completely support Doug, but figured I’d give the disclaimer anyway.
Secretary of State – Justin Pierce
Pierce is a very capable leader who is an up-and-comer in Republican politics. He deserves your vote.
Wil Cardon does not rise to the level of a serious candidate.
Attorney General – Mark Brnovich
I have often commented that Mark Brnovich will be the most qualified individual to ever walk into the AG’s office on the first day. He is a constitutional scholar, a former prosecutor, former head of a state department, and a tireless advocate for freedom. He will be a breath of fresh air so sorely needed in the AG’s office.
Tom Horne has abused his office and, if by some miracle he wins the primary, will lose badly to Democrat candidate Felicia Rotellini in the General Election.
*Disclaimer – Mark Bronivch is a client of my firm, DC London. For what it’s worth, I was supportive of Mark running for AG long before he became a client.
State Treasurer – Jeff DeWit
Current State Treasurer Doug Ducey has done a great job running the treasurer’s office, but if you listened to Hugh Hallman or Randy Pullen, you’d think it was a mess. Jeff DeWit is the only candidate who acknowledges that things are working well in the treasurer’s office and will carry that legacy forward. He has the right kind of background for managing the state’s investments and will serve well. He is another strong rising star for the Republican Party.
Corporation Commission – Doug Little and Tom Forese
The corporation commission race this year is a team effort. Doug Little and Tom Forese are running as a team and Lucy Mason and Vernon Parker are running as a team.
The Mason/Parker team feels like the resurrection of the Democrat team from 2012 of Busching, Newman and Kennedy that dubbed themselves “Arizona’s Solar Team.” Mason and Parker are unabashedly supportive of taxpayers subsidizing the solar industry and have been supported by the solar industry. Billionaire crony king, Elon Musk, is the majority shareholder of a company called SolarCity – a rooftop solar system leasing company that is completely dependent on government subsidies to stay afloat.
Given my strong opposition to subsidies and special treatment by government, I think it would be bad for Arizona to elected Mason and Parker.
Vernon Parker, Mayor of Paradise Valley, AZ, is likely to announce tonight that he is running for Governor. Thus he will be the first major Republican in Arizona to jump into a race against incumbent Republican Governor Jan Brewer.
So now it gets interesting. With Parker’s entrance into the race, the line has been crossed – that is, he is the first to make a move sending the signal that he isn’t waiting to see whether Brewer decides to run for re-election or not. Watch for others to follow suit.
Parker is a solid guy. The question is whether he’s ready for prime time. When the Arizona Republic wrote about him considering a run last month, half the story was about alleged legal issues.
He will have the novelty factor in that, at this point, he is the only African-American Republican in the nation running for a Governor’s seat and if he won, he’d be the first African-American Republican Governor in history. He will also immediately begin to be compared to Obama.
I suspect that this could end up being a crowded Republican primary race. Besides Parker, others reportedly mulling include Secretary of State Ken Bennett, State Treasurer Dean Martin, former Governor Fife Symington, Tucson attorney John Munger, former US Transportation Secretary Mary Peters, among others. With a multi-candidate race, who knows what could happen.
One thing is for certain: Jan Brewer has a target on her.