Posts Tagged ‘Santorum’

10th April
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Rick Santorum had a heck of a run.  He has done the right thing, for the right reasons, by stepping aside and allowing Republicans to focus on the most important goal in 2012 – saving the country from a “more flexible” second term Obama.

Yes, I’ve been harping on how this race was over for more than two months, and I’ve expressed frustration with Santorum on occasion, but at the end of the day he has made Mitt Romney a better candidate and better prepared to face Obama in November.

While maybe that isn’t enough to provide Santorum with sainthood, he has been an important part of the debate.

Can’t say the same for Newt Gingrich.

 

 

3rd April
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Maryland primary has already been called for Mitt Romney.  D.C. is expected to go with Romney, as will Wisconsin.

Rick Santorum is out of reasons to stay in this race.  Gingrich isn’t even worth wasting time on.

[UPADTE]

Romney has won huge in D.C. and will have a strong win in Wisconsin.  The fat lady continues to sing.

[UPDATE]

We now have the biggest break in the primary election season – the next elections aren’t until April 24, and full three weeks.  Yes, Santorum leads in Pennsylvania, but what’s the point?  Assuming Santorum can maintain his lead there, which is a big assumption, Romney will win Connecticut, Delaware, New York and Rhode Island.

 

 

30th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Conservative star, Senator Marco Rubio, has endorsed Mitt Romney for President.  That is a BIG get for Romney and one that is yet another nail in the coffin for Rick Santorum’s improbable quest for the nomination.

There are still some important conservatives who have not jumped onto Team Romney, but Rubio’s announcement will lead to more and more asking for a jersey.

I suspect we’ll see a couple this weekend.

 

20th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney’s huge victory in the Illinois primary has effectively ended the GOP nomination process. Regardless of what Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich say, there is no path to the nomination remaining for them.

I have been predicting since January 22nd that Romney has secured the nomination. Back then I wrote that April 24th was his true firewall – and tonight proved that wrong. March 20th will go down in the history books as the moment that Romney secured the nomination.

Now let’s get to the business of a head-to-head between Romney and Obama.

14th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

So the headlines today are all about Rick Santorum “doubling down” by winning both the Mississippi and Alabama primaries.  Nary a word about Romney winning Hawaii and American Samoa.

The fascinating thing about the nomination process is the confusion that comes with each primary or caucus. For example, Santorum won Mississippi over Gingrich and Romney came in third. But the delegate allocation is Romney – 14, Santorum – 13, Gingrich – 12. (For an up-to-date breakdown of the delegate count, go here)

Welcome to presidential primary politics.

 

13th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

Santorum’s wins on Tuesday night in Alabama and Mississippi ensure that he remains in the race for the foreseeable future.  There will be increasing pressure on Gingrich to drop out.

As counterintuitive as it may seem, having both Santorum and Gingrich in the race for the Alabama and Mississippi primaries actually benefits Romney.  Had this been a head-to-head between either Santorum or Gingrich versus Romney, Romney would have lost badly.  With both Santorum and Gingrich in the race, Romney finished a close third in both states, which greatly lessens the impact of the losses.

The Deep South was never going to be a good place for Romney in the primary.  As such, Romney should thank both Santorum and Gingrich for hanging in there this long.

 

13th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

Tonight could be the end for Rick Santorum.  After an influential group of conservatives recently committed to raising a couple million bucks for the Santorum campaign and the SuperPac supporting Santorum, it is possible that he comes in third place in the Alabama and Mississippi primaries.

Most commentators (including yours truly) have written Gingrich off for dead.  But if Gingrich wins either or both of the primaries tonight, and Romney holds Santorum to third in both, the dynamics of the race will have shifted yet again.

In some ways, it’s window dressing.  The dance back and forth between Santorum and Gingrich is ultimately meaningless to the nomination: it’s going to Romney.

10th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

Rick Santorum has won the Kansas caucus (say that five times) and Romney has won the caucuses for Wyoming, Guam, U.S. Virgin Islands and the Northern Mariana Islands.

This puts the delegate count at 454 for Romney, 217 for Santorum, 107 for Gingrich and 47 for Ron Paul.

Romney will prevail, but Santorum has a slight chance for victory in Alabama and Mississippi, thus the GOP continues the process.

Keep in mind, while it seems like this nomination process is taking forever, Clinton and Obama went into late June before it was settled in 2008.  The GOP has plenty of time.

***

I find it interesting, and kind of amusing, that the Denver Bronco’s are making such a hard play for Peyton Manning, thus showing they are willing to throw Tebow overboard.  Yes, Manning is a great quarterback, but I’m guessing the fan loyalty to the Bronco’s will be less intense with Manning than it would be with Tebow.

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A recent web ad by American Future Fund calling on Obama’s SuperPac to give Bill Maher’s $1 million contribution is pretty edgy.  Too edgy to post directly on my blog – you’ll have to see it here.

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After a morning scare that the Valley of the Sun was out of Thin Mints, I hustled over to Wal-Mart and snatched up a few boxes (and the Do-si-dos).  I love the Girl Scout cookie drive.

 

 

3rd March
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney is, as country band “Big and Rich” would sing, “rollin’, rollin’, rollin.’” Mitt Romney continues to show broad strength in the GOP nomination contest with a big win in the Washington State caucuses.  He bested Ron Paul and Rick Santorum (who are only a couple hundred votes apart) by more than 10 points.

This gives Romney additional momentum going into “Super Tuesday” and the most important contest that day, Ohio.

Unless Santorum can pull off some solid wins next Tuesday, it’s going to be hard for him to justify continuing his campaign.  Gingrich has no business continuing forward, but since his head is in lunar mode, he still hasn’t recognized he has long overstayed his welcome.

For all intents and purposes, the general election is on – and it’s time for Republicans as a party to focus all of their energy on making Obama a one term President.

28th February
2012
written by Sean Noble


 

 

 

 

 

 

As expected, Romney coasted to a solid 47-26 win in Arizona, and topped Rick Santorum in Michigan 41-38, which puts him in the driver’s seat to lock up the nomination next week on Super Tuesday. At this point, Newt Gingrich (who came in third in Arizona and fourth in Michigan) should drop out, something that he really should have done weeks ago.

As I wrote back in January, Romney is well-positioned to secure the nomination. Last week, I wrote that Romney was going to win Arizona by double digits and also win Michigan.

Romney has proven his ability to win when it matters, and Santorum should join with Gingrich and drop out, conceding the nomination to Romney, so we can move on as a party.

Super Tuesday next week will solidify Romney’s status as the Republican nominee, and for either Gingrich or Santorum to stay in the race only wastes resources that could be used to beat President Obama in November.

 

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