Posts Tagged ‘Ron Paul’

12th February
2013
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ron Paul, yes, the Ron Paul we all know and love, is using the United Nations to try to force his own supporters to give him, for free, a website domain.

Libertarian folk hero and retired Rep. Ron Paul is fighting to take the domain name RonPaul.com from a legion of loyal supporters. And he’s turning to an unlikely source for help, filing a complaint with an agency of the United Nations — a body he’s criticized for years.

What has this world come to?  Is this the Ron Paul that I voted for in 1988 when he actually ran on the Libertarian ticket?  Is this the Ron Paul who in recent years has been the inspiration of the Revolution?

Maybe we haven’t known the real Ron Paul.  And does this portend what we might expect from Rand Paul?

 

10th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

Rick Santorum has won the Kansas caucus (say that five times) and Romney has won the caucuses for Wyoming, Guam, U.S. Virgin Islands and the Northern Mariana Islands.

This puts the delegate count at 454 for Romney, 217 for Santorum, 107 for Gingrich and 47 for Ron Paul.

Romney will prevail, but Santorum has a slight chance for victory in Alabama and Mississippi, thus the GOP continues the process.

Keep in mind, while it seems like this nomination process is taking forever, Clinton and Obama went into late June before it was settled in 2008.  The GOP has plenty of time.

***

I find it interesting, and kind of amusing, that the Denver Bronco’s are making such a hard play for Peyton Manning, thus showing they are willing to throw Tebow overboard.  Yes, Manning is a great quarterback, but I’m guessing the fan loyalty to the Bronco’s will be less intense with Manning than it would be with Tebow.

***

A recent web ad by American Future Fund calling on Obama’s SuperPac to give Bill Maher’s $1 million contribution is pretty edgy.  Too edgy to post directly on my blog – you’ll have to see it here.

***

After a morning scare that the Valley of the Sun was out of Thin Mints, I hustled over to Wal-Mart and snatched up a few boxes (and the Do-si-dos).  I love the Girl Scout cookie drive.

 

 

3rd March
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney is, as country band “Big and Rich” would sing, “rollin’, rollin’, rollin.’” Mitt Romney continues to show broad strength in the GOP nomination contest with a big win in the Washington State caucuses.  He bested Ron Paul and Rick Santorum (who are only a couple hundred votes apart) by more than 10 points.

This gives Romney additional momentum going into “Super Tuesday” and the most important contest that day, Ohio.

Unless Santorum can pull off some solid wins next Tuesday, it’s going to be hard for him to justify continuing his campaign.  Gingrich has no business continuing forward, but since his head is in lunar mode, he still hasn’t recognized he has long overstayed his welcome.

For all intents and purposes, the general election is on – and it’s time for Republicans as a party to focus all of their energy on making Obama a one term President.

11th February
2012
written by Sean Noble

Mitt Romney enjoyed a big day on Saturday.  First he won the straw poll at CPAC – something that no one believed was possible.  Then, later Saturday, he won the Maine caucus, edging out Ron Paul, whom everyone thought was going to win the Maine caucus.  Paul even skipped CPAC to spend time in Maine, and yet lost both.

This puts Romney at more than 100 delegates and Ron Paul with fewer than 20.  Gingrich is under 30 delegates and Santorum has just more than 70.

This makes Arizona and Michigan important contests at the end of the month.  Santorum has predicted he will win Michigan, and he might. But if he doesn’t, Romney will be riding momentum into Super Tuesday with a sure win in Arizona.

One thing is for sure, Gingrich is done.  CPAC is not the establishment crowd – as evidenced by Ron Paul’s straw poll wins in 2010 and 2011 – but the self-proclaimed anti-establishment candidate, Newt Gingrich, only garnered 15% of the vote, for a distant 3rd place finish.

The CPAC straw poll results are very interesting.  Romney winning CPAC challenges the narrative that Mitt Romney can’t get the support of the most conservative elements of the GOP.  CPAC is the most conservative of the base GOP, and handing Romney a solid straw poll victory will give Romney additional momentum.

While this primary contest seems to be dragging on forever, remember, it’s only Feb. 11.  Obama didn’t secure the nomination from Hillary Clinton until June of 2008.  There is still plenty of time for the GOP to resolve the contest and then focus on beating Obama.

 

31st January
2012
written by Sean Noble

Romney’s solid win in Florida effectively ends the GOP nomination.  Romney is firmly in the driver’s seat, and while Ron Paul will continue to collect delegates for the next month or so, Gingrich and Santorum are essentially done.

The next two big primaries are Michigan and Arizona, both of which Romney will win in a big way, giving him the “big Mo” going into Super Tuesday.

It’s time for Republicans to coalesce behind Romney and focus on beating President Obama in November.

28th January
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

Mitt Romney is on track to wrap up the GOP nomination with a win on Tuesday in Florida.  He had a strong performance in Thursday’s debate and polls out today show him up anywhere between eight and 11 points over Newt Gingrich.

This turnaround demonstrates that he can get the job down, something that will serve him well going into a General Election against President Obama.

As Gingrich enjoyed his surge and win in South Carolina, political observers speculated that he would eventually implode. What worried most GOP operatives was that the implosion would come after he secured the Republican nomination.  As if on cue, he promptly began to sink, and Romney again surged just in time for the Florida primary.

While it has been messy, the process has made Romney a better candidate and better prepared to face the onslaught that awaits him from the Democrats.

After Romney wins Florida, it will be nearly impossible for Santorum or Gingrich to make the case to stay in the race.  Ron Paul will stay in, because he continues to raise enough money to plod along, and he may even do pretty well in some of the upcoming caucuses (Maine, Nevada, Colorado and Minnesota) but Romney will more than likely win the Arizona and Michigan primaries, and he will be an unstoppable force going into Super Tuesday.

It’s been a wild ride – and it’s not quite over, but there are likely very few surprises that can happen now.

20th January
2012
written by Sean Noble

This is the kind of thing that worries me about the next election.  Obama, comfortably playing to a crowd at the Apollo, breaks out with a few bars of singing… and he is GOOD.

Why do our candidates look like they have to be wound up.  Really, can you see Mitt Romney or Ron Paul belting out a little tune?  Me neither.

Here is Obama:


 

19th January
2012
written by Sean Noble

Truth is stranger than fiction.

As recently as the Iowa Straw Poll in August of last year, who, really, could have predicted that on the eve of the South Carolina GOP primary election for President any (let alone all!) of the following?

Michelle Bachman would be a complete non-factor before the Iowa Caucus?

Herman Cain would surge to the lead and fall completely out in less than six weeks?

Mitt Romney would largely write-off Iowa, only to squeak out a win? (I know, wait for it)

Rick Santorum would be left for dead on the side of the road and then come within 8 votes of beating Romney in Iowa, and then actually WIN Iowa (see, told you it was coming) when the results were certified?

Rick Perry, who was the “perfect” alternative to Romney (so much so that his entrance in the race would be cited by both Paul Ryan and Chris Christie as having an impact on their respective decisions to stay out of the race), would become a non-factor in the entire race a few minutes into his third debate?

Jon Huntsman would drop out and endorse Mitt Romney?

Ron Paul would still be around?

Rick Perry would drop out and endorse Newt Gingrich, on the day it comes out that Newt’s second wife claims he wanted an “open marriage”?

Seriously, how ironic is it that the guy everyone is trying to show as the alternative to the “weird Mormon guy” is the one who has actually tried to practice plural marriage?

Folks, this is a circus that has to stop soon, or it’s going to take the whole party down.

 

 

1st January
2012
written by Sean Noble

2012 starts with a bang if you are into politics.  There is mounting anticipation for the Iowa Caucuses and who will be winners and who will be losers.

Amidst all the machinations, there are a couple things that stand out to me.

The collapse of Gingrich in Iowa demonstrates once again that negative campaigning can work.  Newt’s problem has been he has given his opponents way too much material to attack him.  I still think his ad about global warming with Nancy Pelosi from a few years ago is the most damning hit on him.

Santorum’s surge demonstrates the power of the social conservative vote in Iowa.  The active evangelical base in Iowa still can’t stomach voting for Romney and they are starting to coalesce around Santorum as Bachmann and Perry just haven’t proven they can get the job done.

The one mistake that Santorum has made is setting an expectation that he will win Iowa.  He could come in 2nd or even 3rd and get enough of a bounce that if Gingrich continued to falter, he could take advantage of the void.  At this point, because of the expectation of a Santorum win, if he doesn’t, he’s probably done.

While Romney has stayed steady, and the Gingrich threat is dissipating, I think Ron Paul still has a chance to win Iowa.  He has the best ground game there, and he is more likely to attract a broader base of non-Republicans who can show up on Caucus night, register as Republicans, and vote for Paul.

I still think it’s possible that we could have three different winners in the first three contests: Paul or Santorum in Iowa, Romney in New Hampshire and Gingrich in South Carolina (where he still leads in polls, for now).

If Gingrich does win South Carolina, that means we are in for a long, hard slog, not unlike what the Obama-Clinton primary looked like in 2008 when it was June before it was decided.

One thing is certain: 2012 is going to be one of the most interesting political years in modern history.

Buckle up and hang on – it’s going to be a wild ride!