Posts Tagged ‘Newt Gingrich’

6th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

[This post will be updated as the night goes on]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

This is going to be a big day for Mitt Romney.  He will win Ohio, Virginia, Idaho, Massachusetts and Vermont.  He will come in second in Georgia, and thus will take a decent number of delegates out of that state.

At the end of the night, it will be clear that Romney is in the driver’s seat and the nomination is essentially his.  Newt Gingrich should do the honorable thing and drop out – having only one win tonight – and Rick Santorum should also drop out, recognizing that he has no chance of beating Obama.

 

[UPDATE 6:00 p.m.EST]

Exit polls show that Romney will win OH, VA, VT and MA.  Santorum will win TN and OK.  Gingrich will win GA, but be held below 50%, allowing Romney to get a decent chunk of delegates as the second place winner.

 

[UPDATE 8:30 p.m. EST]

Romney has been declared the winner in VA, VT and MA.  Gingrich has won GA, where Romney and Santorum are within a couple hundred votes vying for second place. Santorum has won Oklahoma.

Ohio polls are closed and with a mere 1% reporting, Romney leads Santorum by 3% – way too early to call.

 

[UPDATED 9:30 p.m. EST]

Santorum holds a nearly 4% lead over Romney in Ohio with 29% of precincts reporting.  This could get interesting.

Santorum has also won TN and it looks like he may win ND.

This night is far from over.

 

[UPDATE 10:10 p.m. EST]

Santorum remains in the lead in Ohio by less than 2% (about 10,000 votes) with about 55% reporting.  The good news for Romney is that there a lot of ballots to count in areas where he is strong.  Even if Santorum wins the statewide vote, Romney will gain a large number of delegates, since they are distributed by Congressional district.

So we continue to wait on Ohio.

 

[UPDATE 11:55 p.m. EST]

Mitt Romney appears to have squeaked out a win in Ohio. He won the population centers of Cleveland, Dayton, Columbus and Cincinnati.  He has also won Idaho.  Huge night for Romney.  The nomination is effectively secured.

 

[UPDATE 1:00 a.m. EST]

Romney’s wins in OH, VA, VT, ID and MA along with delegate gains in GA, ND, OK and TN give him a total of 386 delegates to Santorum’s 156 and Gingrich’s 85.  Congratulations to Romney for securing the Republican nomination.

 

13th January
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Newt Gingrich is smart, a visionary and completely unfit to be President.

While someone could write a book with all the reasons Newt shouldn’t be President, this story is one simple example:

Republican presidential candidate Newt Gingrich is hitting rival Mitt Romney in a new ad, with a voice-over that says at one point, “just like John Kerry, he speaks French, too.”

Are you kidding me?  That has to be the weakest, most pathetic line I have ever seen in a political ad.

Especially when you consider this:

Gingrich’s 1971 dissertation – “Belgian Education Policy in the Congo 1945-1960” — contains a multitude of sources in French in his bibliography.

In total, Gingrich relied upon 143 French-language sources to write his dissertation — including 18 “public documents,” 90 books, 33 published articles and 2 unpublished documents.

How do you say “go away” in French?

 

8th January
2012
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Tony Blankley, a long-time communications guru, passed away the morning of January 8th at the age of 63.  He was battling stomach cancer.

I knew Tony – he didn’t really know me – and I always admired him and marveled at his skill.  When I first met him in 1994 he was serving as a special advisor to Newt Gingrich, and stayed with Newt through 1997.

From 2002-2007 he was the editorial page editor for The Washington Times.

He was smart, witty, and a great writer.  He was born in London, and became a naturalized U.S. citizen after his parents moved from England to California.  He still had a bit of an English accent and for a young, impressionable kid fascinated by communications, to me he seemed an even more commanding presence.

He was one of the happy warriors in the conservative cause, and he will be missed.

 

UPDATE

C-SPAN has a great page up for Tony with all his appearances – you can find it here.

24th December
2011
written by Sean Noble

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The absolute first rule of a campaign is to get on the ballot.  All the money, campaign commercials, mailers, emails and phone calls in the world don’t mean a hill of beans if you aren’t actually on the ballot.

In most states, for most races, that means collecting some designated amount of petition signatures in order to qualify for the ballot.  In Arizona, for example, a congressional candidate usually must turn in between 500 and a 1,000 petition signatures.  Most usually turn in two our three times that, in case there are invalid signatures or petitions.

So it is a bit surprising to learn that both Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich failed to qualify for the ballot in Virginia.

This is a monumental failure.  There is literally no excuse.  Rick Perry has piles of cash and jumped into the race in late summer.  The Gingrich campaign is headquartered in Virginia and he’s been running for more than a year.

This is one of those epic fails that could come back to haunt either Perry or Gingrich or both.  In Perry’s case, if he did get a late surge, this will stop him in his tracks.  In Gingrich’s case, this will make his path to the nomination much more difficult if he is still a contender on Super Tuesday.  Ironically, Gingrich leads Romney in polls in Virginia – but now it won’t matter.

Should Republican primary voters care whether a candidate gets on the ballot in an early primary state?  I think so.  If they can’t accomplish the most fundamental of tasks to run for President, I don’t think they should be running the country.

 

UPDATE:

The Washington Examiner reports:

Gingrich’s campaign, having failed to qualify for the Virginia primary ballot, released this statement, decrying the entire process and promising to run as a write-in candidate:

“Only a failed system excludes four out of the six major candidates seeking access to the ballot.  Voters deserve the right to vote for any top contender, especially leading candidates.  We will work with the Republican Party of Virginia to pursue an aggressive write-in campaign to make sure that all the voters of Virginia are able to vote for the candidate of their choice.”

Do we really want a nominee who fails to abide by the process, which others did abide, and then decry the process when you fail?  Newt is showing his true colors on this one, and it ain’t pretty.

19th December
2011
written by Sean Noble

I haven’t done much for Christmas.  In fact, other than a couple gifts ordered online, the only thing I’ve done so far to celebrate the Christmas season is show up more than two hours late to a couple Christmas parties.  I’m not a Scrooge or a Grinch, but I haven’t been exactly jolly.  There’s still time, right?

***

Speaking of Grinch… er… Gingrich, (couldn’t resist) this has been one of the most interesting and frustrating nominating process I’ve ever witnessed.

Frustrating because I am completely unenthusiastic about any of those running, and longing for those who didn’t (Chris, Mitch, Paul, Jeb, anybody?).

Interesting because no one, and I mean NO ONE, expected Newt to come back to life after the stories about his campaign debt for private jet travel, his Tiffany’s debt and mass resignation of nearly his entire staff.

Here is what I’ll say about Gingrich’s leadership ability, as Senator Tom Coburn said: it’s lacking.

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I have a lot of respect for flight attendants.  I am blown away at how rude people can be when they travel.  And some of the worst examples of rudeness come from folks flying in First Class.

I admit that I’ve become a bit of a travel snob (I have been known to whine if I don’t get upgraded), but there is no excuse to treat flight attendants with anything other than respect.

Think about it, if you are in the service industry and there is a rude customer, there is usually an escape route – go the kitchen, the back office, the stock room – but flight attendants are stuck in a sealed metal tube hurtling 500 miles an hour 5 miles above the ground.

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Speaking of being stuck in a metal tube high up in the air is probably not something I should think about too often.  It just sounds unnatural.

***

I few months ago I read the book The Help.  Powerful.  I recently saw the movie and it was equally as powerful.  If it doesn’t sweep the Oscars it will be a travesty.

5th February
2009
written by Sean Noble

Last week’s budget deal at the Arizona Legislature included a little drama.   Rep. Sam Crump and a few other members decided that they were going to test Speaker Kirk Adams.  This kind of thing is not new.  Just ask Newt Gingrich how often he was tested by any number of the 74 freshmen that comprised the Revolutionary class of 1994.

The difference between what the 1994 Freshmen were pushing and what Crump and his pals were pushing has everything to do with intent.  The motivation of the ’94 crowd was to truly limit the growth of government.  It appears that the motivation of the Crump Clan was to literally wrestle power away from the sitting Speaker.

As a result of the dust-up, Speaker Adams threatened to boot Crump from his Chairmanship of the Government Committee.

Crump will remain as Committee Chairman, but my guess is that there were some conversations about success as a majority coming by working together – not pulling a power play. Actual policy disagreements are fine, but don’t try to take power, unless you have the means to succeed.

In 1997, a small group of Congressional Republicans attempted to stage a coup against Newt Gingrich.  The plan was to give Gingrich the ultimatum that he had to step aside because Dick Armey had the votes to replace him.  The plan went awry when Armey realized that the group wanted Bill Paxon (who was NRCC Chairman) to become the new Speaker.  Armey then went to Newt and foiled the plan.  Paxon lost his post and the rest of the group was marginalized.

The buzz at the State Capital has been that Crump flirted with the idea of getting Democrats to join his clan to try to get himself elected Speaker.  Now, setting aside the insanity of such a plan, becoming the next Randall Gnant is not exactly a political path Crump should emulate.  (Although Gnant was before Crump’s time, so he can be excused for not knowing that saga).   I’m doubtful Crump would entertain such a suicidal move – he’s fairly young and smart, so there is no sense in ending it all this early in his career.

The bottom line is that some eager freshmen got caught up in the moment with someone slightly senior to them, and they are lucky to have come out of it in one piece. In fact, Crump showed class by saying he didn’t want to be “a problem child.”  

It also shows that Adam’s style of leadership can, in the end, unify the caucus and enable the legislature to advance a principled, conservative agenda.  And that is very different than what Gingrich was able to accomplish.