Posts Tagged ‘Hillary Clinton’

8th April
2016
written by Sean Noble

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Every election cycle has what pundits call “inflection points”: moments in a campaign that have some defining impact. Moments like Rick Perry in a 2012 debate forgetting the third department of the federal government he would shut down. Or like Marco Rubio deciding to go to Trump’s level of rancor.

Interestingly, the Wisconsin primary was one of those inflection points for both the GOP and Democratic races.

Ted Cruz’s big win all but assured that Republicans are headed to a contested convention in Cleveland. Yes, it’s still possible for Donald Trump to secure 1,237 delegates by the time the last vote is cast on June 7th in California, but it is very improbable.

And, with Bernie Sanders’s trouncing of Hillary Clinton in Wisconsin, he continues to chip away at what most had believed was an insurmountable lead in delegates. Part of why Clinton’s lead has appeared so daunting is because the vast majority of super delegates have committed to her over Sanders (469-31).

However, if you count only the pledged delegates (those are the normal delegates that you win in primaries and caucuses) Hillary leads Sanders by 1,298 to 1,079 – just 221. There are still 1,977 unpledged delegates remaining.

Still, Clinton has all those super delegates. But here is the caveat: a large number of those super delegates are Democrat elected officials (think Members of Congress, state legislators, etc.) who are ultimately going to act on self-interest. If they start to feel the pressure of Sanders’s momentum and see Sanders continue to tighten the race, Clinton could suffer defections of super delegates just like she did in 2008 when late in the primary season Barack Obama got the big mo.

Does Bernie have the big mo? Well, he has won 7 of the last 8 contests. He will win Wyoming this coming weekend. Polling shows that voters in New York, the state Hillary represented in the Senate and she should win handily, are warming to Sanders. Two months ago, Clinton led by more than 20 points; now it’s barely 10 points.

It’s looking increasingly likely that both the Republicans and the Democrats will face contested conventions. And that will be good for Republicans for two reasons: 1) the Democratic convention will be more chaotic than the Republican convention. Democratic base activists tend to be much more aggressive (especially towards law enforcement) than Republican activists and will create more tension, 2) and the Democratic convention comes the week after the Republican convention, so as we enter the General Election phase of the cycle the voters will have the imagery of chaos and tension seared into their minds from the nightly news coverage.

For Democrats, this could be Chicago 1968 all over again: 1968 Democratic Convention Riots

 

 

11th June
2015
written by Sean Noble

Sometimes you read a story in the newspaper (well, on a news website at least) and just shake your head at the profound stupidity of the reporter.

The New York Times first wrote a breathless story about how Senator Marco Rubio and his wife have had a serious problem with driving infractions – 17 total.

On it’s face, you might think, “that dude’s got a lead foot.” The problem is, of the 17 tickets cited in the story, only four of those tickets were given to Senator Rubio. The other 13 were his wife. That’s four in the last 15 years.

So, that’s a bit of a cheap shot by the New York Times.

Then, a couple days later, you had this story with this headline: Marco Rubio’s Career Bedeviled by Financial Struggles.

My first reaction was, this is good for Rubio, a contrast to millionaire Hillary Clinton. And, taken as a whole, the story is about a 44 year-old father of three who has had some ups and downs financially as he has tried to balance a life in politics and raising a family.

One of the more absurd parts of the story was the Times reporting that following him earning an $800,000 advance on his book, “he splurged on an extravagant purchase: $80,000 for a luxury speedboat, state records show. At the time, Mr. Rubio confided to a friend that it was a potentially inadvisable outlay that he could not resist. The 24-foot boat, he said, fulfilled a dream.”

OK, so I’m a kid from Show Low, AZ and not an expert in watercraft. But, I have had friends who owned boats (bass fishing boats, speed boats, deep sea fishing boats) and I’ve been on a couple “luxury” boats.

When I read “$80,000 luxury speedboat” I just chuckled. A 24-ft boat that costs $80,000 is far from “luxury.” You want a “luxury speedboat?” That’s going to put you out a few hundred thousand to start.

For example, this Tiara is used and is for sale for more than $300,000.

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Turns out this is the “luxury speedboat” Marco bought:

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It’s a standard deep sea fishing boat. As I commented to someone, “If a luxury speedboat was a Bentley, this is a Hyundai.”

So the New York Times is getting some criticism. Even Politico thinks they’ve crossed the line. Think about that, when even Politico thinks you’ve gone over the line, you can guarantee you have crossed the line a mile back.

Then last night, Jon Stewart jumped into the mix. It’s pretty amazing TV.

The New York Times has lost even more of what little credibility they have remaining. The Gray Lady weeps…

15th April
2015
written by Sean Noble

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68 years ago today, Jackie Robinson broke the color barrier in Major League Baseball when Brooklyn Dodgers General Manager, Branch Rickey, started Robinson at first base. It was one of the most important moments in the MLB and led a nation into the civil rights movement. Robinson and Rickey were ahead of their time when you realize that this happened 16 years before Martin Luther King’s seminal “I have a dream” speech.

Here’s to you, Jackie Robinson.

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On Monday, Senator Marco Rubio announced his campaign for the Presidency from the iconic Freedom Tower in Miami. It was a rousing and inspirational speech that highlighted his family’s path to attaining the American Dream. Rubio’s message was one of hope in the resurgence of American greatness and a powerful call to action. Rubio is the best communicator in the Republican Party and will be a top tier contender for the GOP nomination.

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Speaking of top-tier contenders, Hillary Clinton launched her campaign for the White House on Sunday with a web video. As I tweeted that day, say what you will, but it was well done and had the right tone.

While I think she will struggle with coming across authentic, she is going to be a formidable opponent to whomever gets the GOP nomination.

Oh, and one of the most absurd things I have ever seen, happened in Iowa. Click the link below. Talk about a stampede.

 

 

12th May
2014
written by Sean Noble

The kidnapping of more than 200 young girls by the terrorist group Boko Harem in Nigeria is horrific.

We can debate how we got to the point that this terrorist group was able to pull this off.  We can, in part, blame Hillary Clinton, who, while she was Secretary of State, worked against listing Boko Harem as a terrorist group, despite strong evidence of their close ties to Al Qaeda.

We can also blame this administration’s general position on terrorism – or probably better said, lack of strong position against terrorism.

Case in point:

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Seriously? The reaction by the greatest nation on earth to the horrific kidnapping of more than 200 young girls is a twitter hashtag? What, exactly did they expect to accomplish with a Twitter hashtag and a profile picture?

Even what the President said about it is incredibly disappointing:

“I have this remarkable title right now, the president of the United States,” Obama said, “And yet every day when I wake up, and I think about young girls in Nigeria or children caught up in the conflict in Syria — when there are times in which I want to reach out and save those kids.”

What Obama doesn’t seem to understand is that he has more than a “remarkable title” – he has remarkable responsibility that he is supposed to employ.

But, when you think about it, the vast majority of President Obama’s tenure has been more style than substance.  It isn’t about doing something, it’s about projecting – expressing opinion rather than doing the hard work of affecting actual change.

In a word, our president is a slacktivist.  Like so many other high-minded liberals, he thinks that tweeting something out, or creating a hashtag about an issue is actual activism.  Well, it’s not.

It’s past time for this administration to understand that we can’t conduct foreign policy with a hashtag. #Seriously

 

24th January
2013
written by Sean Noble

The self-righteous Hillary is back. Here we thought that the diplomatic Hillary was the new and improved – and less harsh – version.

But she got her back up against the wall at a Senate hearing on the Benghazi attack and this happened:

This is more like the Hillary of before, and may be a preview of what is yet to come as she contemplates another run for the White House in 2016. She can’t be happy about the situation she was put in, and given that Obama’s team is running foreign policy decisions, she is in a bit of a corner.

We aren’t going to get real answers from Hillary, because I don’t believe she knows the whole truth. Why else would she say “what difference does it make?” It makes a whole lot of difference, ma’am, but if you are in the dark, own it and get out of the way of finding the truth.