Posts Tagged ‘Alabama’

13th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

Santorum’s wins on Tuesday night in Alabama and Mississippi ensure that he remains in the race for the foreseeable future.  There will be increasing pressure on Gingrich to drop out.

As counterintuitive as it may seem, having both Santorum and Gingrich in the race for the Alabama and Mississippi primaries actually benefits Romney.  Had this been a head-to-head between either Santorum or Gingrich versus Romney, Romney would have lost badly.  With both Santorum and Gingrich in the race, Romney finished a close third in both states, which greatly lessens the impact of the losses.

The Deep South was never going to be a good place for Romney in the primary.  As such, Romney should thank both Santorum and Gingrich for hanging in there this long.

 

13th March
2012
written by Sean Noble

Tonight could be the end for Rick Santorum.  After an influential group of conservatives recently committed to raising a couple million bucks for the Santorum campaign and the SuperPac supporting Santorum, it is possible that he comes in third place in the Alabama and Mississippi primaries.

Most commentators (including yours truly) have written Gingrich off for dead.  But if Gingrich wins either or both of the primaries tonight, and Romney holds Santorum to third in both, the dynamics of the race will have shifted yet again.

In some ways, it’s window dressing.  The dance back and forth between Santorum and Gingrich is ultimately meaningless to the nomination: it’s going to Romney.