Prediction: Romney will win Arizona by double digits and also win Michigan next Tuesday. That will give him momentum going into Super Tuesday in which he will win more delegates than Rick Santorum or Newt Gingrich and continue to lead the delegate count on his way to the Republican nomination.
Here is my problem with Rick Santorum, and it’s personal. I took vacation time in 2004 to work on Pat Toomey’s Senate campaign against Sen. Arlen Specter. Rick Santorum, to the surprise of many conservatives, endorsed and cut ads for Specter, as did President George W. Bush. The argument at the time from the White House was that if Specter was the Republican nominee, Bush would be able to win Pennsylvania. The counter argument was that if Specter was the nominee, the base Republican voters in Pennsylvania would be unmotivated to turnout and vote.
As a result of Santorum endorsing Specter, Specter won the primary in 2004 by one vote per precinct over Toomey and then Bush went on to lose Pennsylvania to Kerry in the General Election.
I can’t forget Santorum supporting Specter, who not only voted counter to Bush in the following years, but eventually switched to Democrat and was the deciding vote on Obama’s health care bill.